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See the latest news and updates about COVID-19 and its impact on the Charlotte region, the Carolinas and beyond.

Modeling Shows Positive Signs For Reopening NC

ICU bed modeling during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Sheps Center for Health Services Research
ICU bed modeling during the COVID-19 pandemic.
ICU bed modeling during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Credit Sheps Center for Health Services Research
ICU bed modeling during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Updated modeling shows social distancing is working, and the spread of the coronavirus has slowed in North Carolina.

But that doesn't mean the state is in the clear.

The report concludes North Carolina's health care system appears to have the capacity available to warrant a gradual re-opening of the state. 

Mark Holmes is one of the data scientists working on the modeling and the head of UNC's Sheps Center for Health Services Research. Holmes says it's hard to imagine a scenario where the state reaches that capacity in the next four weeks.

"But, depending on how quickly we open things up, if we move too quickly, we could get to it shortly after that."

North Carolina has yet to see a sustained decrease in reported COVID-19 cases or related deaths, which the researchers say would be an indicator the outbreak has been contained.

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Cole del Charco is a journalist, writer and radio producer from Hickory, North Carolina.
Cole del Charco
Cole del Charco is WUNC's Fletcher Fellow for education policy reporting. He grew up in Hickory, North Carolina, graduated from UNC-Chapel Hill with a B.A. from the School of Media and Journalism and spent his first year out of college working with WFAE, Charlotte's NPR member station. Cole loves pine trees, sunny days and the mountains of North Carolina.